Alto Ingredients Stock Performance
| ALTO Stock | USD 2.57 0.07 2.80% |
Alto Ingredients holds a performance score of 22 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alto Ingredients' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alto Ingredients is expected to be smaller as well. Use Alto Ingredients skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to analyze future returns on Alto Ingredients.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alto Ingredients are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Alto Ingredients displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.72) | Five Day Return (12.28) | Year To Date Return (6.02) | Ten Year Return (26.04) | All Time Return (99.75) |
Last Split Factor 1:15 | Last Split Date 2013-05-14 |
1 | Alto Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 11/05/2025 |
2 | Alto and Cadence to begin outreach to steel industry in support of Toronto-Quebec City high-speed rail project | 11/18/2025 |
3 | All You Need to Know About Alto Ingredients Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy | 12/15/2025 |
4 | 3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Over 30M | 12/18/2025 |
5 | Alto Ingredients, Inc.s Shares Leap 41 percent Yet Theyre Still Not Telling The Full Story | 12/22/2025 |
6 | Zacks.com featured highlights include Aris Mining, Alto Ingredients and Mamas Creations - The Globe and Mail | 12/30/2025 |
7 | Alto Ingredients Surges 45 percent in a Year Time to Buy the Stock - TradingView Track All Markets | 01/05/2026 |
8 | Can Alto Ingredients Inc. stock hit analyst price targets - Earnings Growth Report Consistent Profit Trade Alerts - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
9 | Alto Expands Business Development Leadership to Support Growing Institutional Demand | 01/15/2026 |
10 | ALTO vs. GPRE Which Renewable Fuels Stock is a Better Investment | 01/20/2026 |
11 | Is Western Production a Core Earnings and Growth Pillar for ALTO | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 45.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -13.5 M |
Alto Ingredients Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 104.00 in Alto Ingredients on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 153.00 from holding Alto Ingredients or generate 147.12% return on investment over 90 days. Alto Ingredients is currently generating 1.6291% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.8392% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 52% of stocks are less volatile than Alto, and 68% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alto Ingredients Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.57 | 90 days | 2.57 | about 32.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alto Ingredients to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.9 (This Alto Ingredients probability density function shows the probability of Alto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alto Ingredients has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alto Ingredients average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alto Ingredients will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Alto Ingredients has an alpha of 1.4369, implying that it can generate a 1.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alto Ingredients Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alto Ingredients
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alto Ingredients. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alto Ingredients' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alto Ingredients Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alto Ingredients is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alto Ingredients' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alto Ingredients, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alto Ingredients within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Alto Ingredients Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alto Ingredients for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alto Ingredients can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alto Ingredients is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alto Ingredients appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 965.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.36 M. | |
| Alto Ingredients currently holds about 57.38 M in cash with (3.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77. | |
| Alto Ingredients has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Western Production a Core Earnings and Growth Pillar for ALTO |
Alto Ingredients Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alto Ingredients' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alto Ingredients' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.5 M |
Alto Ingredients Fundamentals Growth
Alto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alto Ingredients, and Alto Ingredients fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alto Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.21 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0145 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 285.95 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 77.34 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 7.22 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.89 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.21 X | ||||
| Revenue | 965.26 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 18.36 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (26.76 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (58.98 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 57.38 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.77 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 114.67 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.88 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.88 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.52 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.68) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 193.49 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 401.44 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (824.17 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 95.31 M | ||||
About Alto Ingredients Performance
By examining Alto Ingredients' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Alto Ingredients' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Alto Ingredients is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 17.16 | 10.86 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.13) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.15) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.13) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.24) | (0.25) |
Things to note about Alto Ingredients performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alto Ingredients for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alto Ingredients help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alto Ingredients is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alto Ingredients appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 965.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.36 M. | |
| Alto Ingredients currently holds about 57.38 M in cash with (3.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77. | |
| Alto Ingredients has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Western Production a Core Earnings and Growth Pillar for ALTO |
- Analyzing Alto Ingredients' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alto Ingredients' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alto Ingredients' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alto Ingredients' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alto Ingredients' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alto Ingredients' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alto Ingredients' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alto Ingredients. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. To learn how to invest in Alto Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alto Ingredients guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Alto diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alto Ingredients. If investors know Alto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Alto Ingredients data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Earnings Share (0.68) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alto Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alto Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alto Ingredients' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Alto Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alto Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alto Ingredients' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alto Ingredients represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alto Ingredients' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.